NDC and High Risk Failure Open Letter (Scientist Rebellion XR FFFMap et al)

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Open Letter: High Risk & NDCs Failures cause Harm!

We are Not Safe!


The Actuaries report points:
1. 3°C climate warming = >4 billion deaths,
2. Most Governments' NDCs (National Determined Contribution) are based on a poor estimate by William Nordhaus and ignore the most harmful high risk, worst case scenarios, according to the Actuaries report. This has led governments around the world into a false sense of security. The harm is now clearly increasing and we are NOT Safe.



OUR DEMANDS

1. We demand an Audit of each NDC.
Groups called upon to do this Audit:
- UN IPCC
- Every government shall audit other governments' NDC
- Scientists and universities.


2. For every NDC found to be sub standard and fail to meet the needs of a country:

Tell the Truth: Governments, the media and the IPCC must admit and communicate climate failure around missing the global 1.5°C warming limit, and move into emergency mode.

-They shall communicate to the public the urgency for change because we are not safe from the consequences of catastrophic climate collapse.

Act Now: Measures to protect us must be implemented now; that means reaching zero greenhouse gas emissions and stopping biodiversity loss as quickly as possible.

An example of an immediate action - Our governments and media shall prohibit advertising for and sponsoring by fossil fuels.

Citizens’ Assembly: Governments must create and be led by the decisions of a Citizens’ Assembly on climate and ecological justice.

3. We demand William Nordhaus is stripped of his 2018 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. Nordhaus's false work has already caused enough death and destruction, and is set to cause billions more and the Swedish Central Bank shall not stand behind this.
And we demand Sveriges Riksbank shall make amends with every new prize being given to a climate justice activists, until the IPCC report shows we are out of the risk zone for Climate and Planetary boundaries.



Signatories of our open letter:

  1. Janine O’Keeffe, B.eng Electronic Engineering, MBA, International Relation, Fridays for Future et al
  2. Pontus Bergandahl
  3. Ola Gabrielson, Civil Engineer, Scientist Rebellion
  4. Alfred Robert Hogan, M.A. 2005 PhD in progress
  5. Rev. A. Rose McHale, AAS Intelligence Operations Studies
  6. Rainer Doemen, taxation, budget and Renewable Energy
  7. Emilie Massold, Chemistry
  8. Robert Thomas, BA
  9. Alexander Sauda, Fridays For Future Green Course
  10. Anders Bäcklund, Teacher, Återställ Våtmarker
  11. Anna Termine
  12. Jan Axelsson, PhD in physics
  13. Join via form


More information ______________________________________

The Actuaries report quotes:



pg 4 '3. Unmitigated climate change and nature-driven risks have been hugely underestimated
• Climate change impacts are materialising at lower temperatures than estimated. The severity and frequency of extreme events are unprecedented and beyond model projections.'
pg 4 '4. Paris Agreement goals were not informed by realistic risk assessment, they implicitly accept high risk of crossing tipping points
• The average temperature for the last 12 months was 1.5°C above pre-industrial temperatures and the rate of warming has accelerated.
• Breaching 1.5°C risks triggering multiple climate change tipping points and every fraction of a
degree increases the risk.
pg 4 '5. Global risk management practices for policymakers are inadequate, we have accepted much higher levels of risk than is broadly understood
• Policymakers ... viewing climate and nature risks as externalities.
• Climate change risk assessment methodologies understate economic impact, as they often exclude many of the most severe risks that are expected and do not recognise there is a risk of ruin. They are precisely wrong, rather than being roughly right.'
pg 33 'Exploring water risk - a qualitative systemic risk assessment'
'... exposed to water scarcity globally,... estimates of up to 4 billion at 4°C'


The NDCs and our government models are often missing and precisely wrong:

Hotter climates activate feedback loops which cause additional heating (e.g., increased forest fires, thawing permafrost, melting ice) threatening to irreversibly drive the Earth to a hotter uninhabitable state. Imagine 60-degree heat waves in Sydney! These effects are being observed decades earlier than predicted, in line with the worst-case scenarios forecasted. Increasingly severe heat waves, droughts and natural disasters are occurring year after year, not once every century or decade. Sea levels may rise by several metes this century, displacing hundreds of millions of people living in coastal areas.

There is a growing fear amongst scientists that simultaneous extreme weather events in major agricultural areas could cause global food shortages, and trigger societal collapse. For example, the drought in Syria (2011-2015) destroyed much of the country’s agriculture and livestock, driving millions into cities and sparking a civil war from which the world is still reeling. We face crises where the scale, intensity and frequency all increasing in severity.

We are alarmed at the extent of the problem and because of the NDC failure we understand how little is currently being done to address it.


Administration Note:
1. The first twenty signing this letter with Share Publicly marked shall be publicly listed.
2. Action Network is a USA territorial based IT system.
3. Minor changes may be made for clarity.

Learn more about us, Scientist Rebellion Australia

Audits of NDCs:

Actuaries report

Technical References:

Johan Rockström Report:
Post 1
Post 2
Post 3

Breakthroughonline Risk Reports


Other References: